{
  "date": "2026-09-05",
  "purpose": "Manual false-positive check on the automated price-provenance run of the same date. The automated check matches each stored price against captured page text, which cannot see prices drawn by JavaScript, held behind a checkout or login, set in an image, or on a page the capture missed. This sample measures how often that produces a wrong result.",
  "method": "18 of the 77 unsourced prices were drawn at random from the frozen run. Each was opened in a real browser: first the page cited for that price, then the firm's own pricing or home page. Two outcomes are recorded separately. citedPageHit is whether the exact figure appears on a page we cite, which is the claim the study makes. firmSiteHit is whether the figure appears anywhere on the firm's own site today, which is the broader claim the study does not make.",
  "sampleSize": 18,
  "population": 77,
  "citedPageFalsePositives": 2,
  "citedPageFalsePositiveRate": 0.11,
  "publishedElsewhereOnFirmSite": 3,
  "publishedElsewhereRate": 0.17,
  "rows": [
    {
      "slug": "t4tcapital",
      "label": "evaluation.priceFrom",
      "value": 45,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": false,
      "note": "Home page and rules page list $30, $36, $50, $85. No $45 anywhere. $50 minus 10% is the stored figure."
    },
    {
      "slug": "t4tcapital",
      "label": "plans[1] 1 Step Crypto CFD",
      "value": 45,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": false,
      "note": "Same firm, same defect. $50 is published, $45 is not."
    },
    {
      "slug": "t4tcapital",
      "label": "plans[2] 2 Step Challenge",
      "value": 45,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": false,
      "note": "Same firm, same defect."
    },
    {
      "slug": "t4tcapital",
      "label": "plans[3] 2 Step Crypto CFD",
      "value": 45,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": false,
      "note": "Same firm, same defect."
    },
    {
      "slug": "finotive-funding",
      "label": "plans[2] One-Step Challenge",
      "value": 35,
      "citedPageHit": true,
      "firmSiteHit": true,
      "note": "FALSE POSITIVE. $35 is printed on finotivefunding.com/challenge, a page we cite. The captured text used by the automated run did not contain it."
    },
    {
      "slug": "p1futures",
      "label": "plans[0] P1 Reserve",
      "value": 34,
      "citedPageHit": true,
      "firmSiteHit": true,
      "note": "FALSE POSITIVE. The cited /pricing URL resolves to the home page, which prints $34."
    },
    {
      "slug": "hyrotrader",
      "label": "plans[0] One-Step Crypto Challenge",
      "value": 89,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": true,
      "note": "$89 is on the home page but not on either page we cite for it. Our citation is in the wrong place; the price is real."
    },
    {
      "slug": "lux-trading-firm",
      "label": "plans[3] Insta Account Crypto CFD",
      "value": 299,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": false,
      "note": "The firm publishes GBP 299, not $299. Stored as dollars on our side, which is a currency error in our data."
    },
    {
      "slug": "maven-trading",
      "label": "plans[1] Maven Two-Step",
      "value": 67,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": false,
      "note": "Home page prices are $62 and $74. No $67."
    },
    {
      "slug": "apex",
      "label": "evaluation.priceFrom",
      "value": 147,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": false,
      "note": "Home page prints $167 with a promotional $16.70. /pricing returns a 404. $147 is a figure from an earlier promotion."
    },
    {
      "slug": "p1futures",
      "label": "plans[2] P1 Instant",
      "value": 229,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": false,
      "note": "Published ladder runs $199 then $285. No $229."
    },
    {
      "slug": "funded-futures-family",
      "label": "plans[2] Prime",
      "value": 86,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": false,
      "note": "Published Prime pricing is $124 and $125 tiers. No $86."
    },
    {
      "slug": "ftmo",
      "label": "evaluation.priceFrom",
      "value": 79,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": false,
      "note": "FTMO prices in euros: EUR 89, 250, 345, 439. A dollar figure is not what the firm charges."
    },
    {
      "slug": "futureselite",
      "label": "plans[0] Evaluation Account",
      "value": 96.6,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": false,
      "note": "Neither the cited evaluation page nor the home page carries any monthly price."
    },
    {
      "slug": "fundednext-cfds",
      "label": "plans[0] Stellar 1-Step CFD",
      "value": 49.49,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": false,
      "note": "Published CFD ladder is $29.99, $59.99, $119.99, $199.99. No $49.49."
    },
    {
      "slug": "fundednext-cfds",
      "label": "plans[1] Stellar 1-Step Crypto CFD",
      "value": 49.49,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": false,
      "note": "Same ladder, same absence."
    },
    {
      "slug": "fundednext-cfds",
      "label": "plans[4] Stellar Lite CFD",
      "value": 24.74,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": false,
      "note": "Same ladder, same absence."
    },
    {
      "slug": "funded-crypto-family",
      "label": "plans[0] Premier 1-Step",
      "value": 99,
      "citedPageHit": false,
      "firmSiteHit": false,
      "note": "The firm's site now returns a coming-soon holding page with no content at all."
    }
  ]
}